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November 3, 2026
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| Elections in Arizona |
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The 2026 Arizona gubernatorial election will be held on November 3, 2026, to elect the governor of Arizona. Incumbent Democratic governor Katie Hobbs is running for re-election to a second term. Primary elections will take place on July 21, 2026.[1]
Following the passage of Proposition 131 in the 2022 elections, this will be the first gubernatorial election in Arizona in which candidates will be required to nominate a running mate for the newly established position of lieutenant governor.[2] This will be one of five Democratic-held governorships up for election in 2026 in a state that Donald Trump won in the 2024 presidential election.
Background
Arizona is considered to be a purple state at both the federal and statewide level. After Joe Biden carried the state narrowly in the 2020 presidential election,[3] Donald Trump carried the state of Arizona by 5.5 points in the 2024 presidential election.[4] Democrats control both U.S. Senate seats in Arizona[5][6] and hold the governorship and secretary of state office.[7][8] Meanwhile, Republicans maintain a majority in the Arizona Senate and Arizona House of Representatives,[9] and control 6 of the 9 House of Representatives seats in the state.[10] Democrats have characterized this race as key to establishing a Democratic trifecta in Arizona for the first time in 60 years.[11]
Democratic primary
Candidates
Presumptive nominee
- Katie Hobbs, incumbent governor (2023–present)[12]
Declined
- Adrian Fontes, secretary of state of Arizona (2023–present) (running for re-election)[13]
- Kris Mayes, attorney general of Arizona (2023–present) (running for re-election)[14]
Endorsements
Katie Hobbs
- U.S. representatives
- Yassamin Ansari, AZ-03 (2025–present)[15]
- Greg Stanton, AZ-04 (2023–present), AZ-09 (2019–2023)[15]
- Labor unions
- International Association of Machinists and Aerospace Workers Arizona State Council[16]
- Organizations
Republican primary
Candidates
Declared
- Andy Biggs, U.S. representative from Arizona's 5th congressional district (2017–present)[23]
- Ken Miceli, business owner[24]
- Scott Neely, concrete pumping contractor, candidate for governor in 2022, and candidate for mayor of Mesa in 2024[25]
- David Schweikert, U.S. representative from Arizona's 1st congressional district (2011–present)[26]
Withdrawn
- Karrin Taylor Robson, former member of the Arizona Board of Regents (2017–2021) and candidate for governor in 2022[27][28]
Declined
- Juan Ciscomani, U.S. representative from Arizona's 6th congressional district (2023–present) (running for re-election)[29]
- Jake Hoffman, state senator from the 15th district (2023–present) and 2020 fake elector for Donald Trump[30] (endorsed Biggs)[25]
- Kari Lake, senior advisor to the U.S. Agency for Global Media (2025–present), nominee for governor in 2022, and nominee for U.S. Senate in 2024[31]
- Kimberly Yee, state treasurer of Arizona (2019–present) and candidate for governor in 2022 (running for superintendent of public instruction)[32]
Endorsements
Andy Biggs
- Executive branch officials
- Donald Trump, president of the United States (2017–2021, 2025–present) (co-endorsement with Taylor Robson)[33]
- U.S. senators
- U.S. representatives
- Lauren Boebert, CO-04 (2021–present)[35]
- Eli Crane, AZ-02 (2023–present)[35]
- Paul Gosar, AZ-09 (2011–present)[35]
- Burgess Owens, UT-04 (2021–present)[34]
- Tom Emmer, House Majority Whip from MN-06 (2015–present)[36]
- Matt Gaetz, former FL-01 (2017–2024)[37]
- Debbie Lesko, former AZ-08 (2018–2025) and member of the Maricopa County Board of Supervisors from the 4th district (2025–present)[38]
- State legislators
- Jake Hoffman, state senator from the 15th district (2023–present)[25]
- Rachel Keshel, state representative from the 17th district (2023–present)[39]
- Individuals
- Charlie Kirk, CEO of Turning Point USA (deceased)[40]
- Erika Kirk, CEO of Turning Point USA[41]
- Organizations
Karrin Taylor Robson (withdrawn)
- Executive branch officials
- Donald Trump, president of the United States (2017–2021, 2025–present) (co-endorsement with Biggs)[33]
- Sarah Huckabee Sanders, governor of Arkansas (2023–present) and former White House Press Secretary (2017–2019)[46]
- U.S. senators
- Pete Ricketts, Nebraska (2023–present)[47]
- U.S. representatives
- Newt Gingrich, former speaker of the United States House of Representatives (1995–1999) from GA-06 (1979–1999)[48]
- State legislators
- Janae Shamp, majority leader of the Arizona Senate (2025–present) from the 29th district (2023–present)[49]
- Tim Dunn, state senator from the 25th district (2025–present) (co-endorsement with Taylor Robson)[50]
- Michael Carbone, majority leader of the Arizona House of Representatives (2025–present) from the 25th district (2023–present)[48]
- Walter Blackman, state representative from the 7th district (2025–present)[50]
- Selina Bliss, state representative from the 1st district (2023–present)[50]
- David Livingston, state representative from the 28th district (2023–present)[50]
- Justin Wilmeth, state representative from the 2nd district (2023–present) and 15th district (2021–2023)[50]
- Teresa Martinez, state representative from the 16th district (2021–present)[48]
- Individuals
- Rob Schneider, actor[48]
- Organizations
Polling
Aggregate polls
| Source of poll aggregation |
Dates administered |
Dates updated |
Andy Biggs |
David Schweikert |
Undecided[a] | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 270toWin[52] | May 15–18, 2025 | May 26, 2026 | 51.5% | 13.5% | 35% | Biggs +38.0% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[b] |
Margin of error |
Andy Biggs |
Karrin Taylor Robson |
David Schweikert |
Other | Undecided | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NextGen P (R)[53] | June 16–17, 2026 | 1,683 (LV) | ± 2.5% | 57% | – | 11% | 5%[c] | 27% | ||
| Stealth Analytics[54] | May 13–15, 2026 | 1,100 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 55% | – | 9% | 2% | 34% | ||
| Noble Predictive Insights[55] | May 5–7, 2026 | 375 (RV) | ± 5.0% | 48% | – | 18% | – | 34% | ||
| NextGen P (R)[56] | April 13–16, 2026 | 1,255 (LV) | ± 2.7% | 52% | – | 10% | 3%[d] | 35% | ||
| Noble Predictive Insights[57] | February 23–26, 2026 | 384 (RV) | ± 5.0% | 40% | – | 19% | – | 41% | ||
| February 12, 2026 | Taylor Robson suspends her campaign. | |||||||||
| Center for Excellence in Polling[58] | January 22–24, 2026 | – (LV) | – | 28% | 19% | 12% | – | 41% | ||
| Emerson College[59] | November 8–10, 2025 | 381 (RV) | ± 5.0% | 50% | 17% | 8% | 1%[e] | 24% | ||
| GrayHouse (R)[60] | October 26–28, 2025 | 397 (LV) | ± 3.6% | 43% | 19% | 2% | – | 36% | ||
| Pulse Decision Science (R)[61] | September 8–10, 2025 | 502 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 48% | 26% | 11% | – | 15% | ||
| 55% | 31% | – | – | 14% | ||||||
| 61% | – | 23% | – | 16% | ||||||
| Kreate Strategies (R)[62] | August 19–21, 2025 | 679 (RV) | – | 65% | 14% | – | – | 21% | ||
| Noble Predictive Insights[63] | August 11–18, 2025 | 385 (RV) | ± 5.0% | 27% | 37% | – | – | 36% | ||
| NextGen P (R)[64] | June 17–18, 2025 | 1,380 (LV) | ± 2.6% | 49% | 26% | – | 8% | 17% | ||
| Kreate Strategies (R)[65][A] | May 23–25, 2025 | 1,147 (LV) | ± 2.9% | 57% | 25% | – | – | 18% | ||
| Pulse Decision Science (R)[66][B] | April 6–9, 2025 | 511 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 45% | 16% | – | – | 39% | ||
| NicoPAC (R)[67] | April 2–6, 2025 | 477 (RV) | ± 4.5% | 66% | 15% | – | 4% | 15% | ||
| NicoPAC (R)[68] | January 24–26, 2025 | 512 (RV) | ± 4.3% | 71% | 14% | – | – | 15% | ||
Hypothetical polling
- Andy Biggs vs. Charlie Kirk vs. Jack McCain vs. Jake Hoffman vs. Karrin Taylor Robson vs. Kimberly Yee
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[b] |
Margin of error |
Andy Biggs |
Jake Hoffman |
Charlie Kirk |
Jack McCain |
Karrin Taylor Robson |
Kimberly Yee |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Noble Predictive Insights[69] | May 12–16, 2025 | 426 (RV) | ± 4.8% | 17% | – | 17% | – | 24% | 6% | – | 37% |
| Noble Predictive Insights[70] | February 11–13, 2025 | 374 (RV) | ± 5.1% | 14% | 1% | 14% | 8% | 11% | 5% | – | 47% |
| NicoPAC (R)[68] | January 24–26, 2025 | 512 (RV) | ± 4.3% | 59% | – | – | – | 9% | 11% | 3%[f] | 19% |
| Data Orbital[71][C] | January 18–20, 2025 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.5% | 32% | – | – | – | 12% | 7% | 4%[g] | 45% |
- Andy Biggs vs. Kimberly Yee
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[b] |
Margin of error |
Andy Biggs |
Kimberly Yee |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NicoPAC (R)[68] | January 24–26, 2025 | 512 (RV) | ± 4.3% | 67% | 19% | – | 14% |
- Karrin Taylor Robson vs. Kimberly Yee
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[b] |
Margin of error |
Karrin Taylor Robson |
Kimberly Yee |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NicoPAC (R)[68] | January 24–26, 2025 | 512 (RV) | ± 4.3% | 15% | 41% | – | 43% |
Libertarian primary
Candidates
Filed paperwork
Green primary
Candidates
Declared
- Risa Lombardo[73]
Filed paperwork
Endorsements
Carlos Melendez
- Political parties
William Pounds
- U.S. representatives
- Cynthia McKinney, former GA-11 (1993–2003)[78]
No Labels primary
Candidates
Declared
General election
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| Inside Elections[81] | Tossup | August 28, 2025 |
| Race to the WH[82] | Lean D | June 19, 2026 |
| RealClearPolitics[83] | Tossup | June 5, 2026 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[84] | Lean D | September 4, 2025 |
| The Cook Political Report[85] | Tossup | June 2026 |
Polling
Katie Hobbs vs. Andy Biggs
Aggregate polls
| Source of poll aggregation |
Dates administered |
Dates updated |
Katie Hobbs (D) |
Andy Biggs (R) |
Other/ |
Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Race to the WH[86] | through May 7, 2026 | May 16, 2026 | 44.5% | 37.5% | 18.0% | Hobbs +7.0% |
| RealClearPolitics[87] | November 8, 2025 – May 7, 2026 | May 16, 2026 | 44.3% | 39.3% | 16.4% | Hobbs +5.0% |
| Average | 44.4% | 38.4% | 17.2% | Hobbs +6.0% | ||
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[b] |
Margin of error |
Katie Hobbs (D) |
Andy Biggs (R) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Noble Predictive Insights[55] | May 5–7, 2026 | 996 (RV) | ± 3.1% | 41% | 37% | 6%[j] | 16% |
| TIPP Insights (R)[88][D] | April 20–24, 2026 | 1,159 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 48% | 38% | 2%[k] | 12% |
| 1,501 (RV) | ± 2.8% | 45% | 35% | 2%[k] | 18% | ||
| Noble Predictive Insights[57] | February 23–26, 2026 | 1,023 (RV) | ± 3.1% | 42% | 35% | 5%[l] | 18% |
| Center for Excellence in Polling[58] | January 22–24, 2026 | 519 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 50% | 41% | – | 9% |
| NextGen P (R)[89] | December 15–17, 2025 | 2,725 (LV) | ± 1.9% | 51% | 32% | 7% | 9% |
| Emerson College[59] | November 8–10, 2025 | 850 (RV) | ± 3.3% | 44% | 43% | – | 13% |
| Noble Predictive Insights[63] | August 11–18, 2025 | 948 (RV) | ± 3.2% | 39% | 37% | 4%[m] | 20% |
| Noble Predictive Insights[69] | May 12–16, 2025 | 1,026 (RV) | ± 3.1% | 40% | 38% | 5%[n] | 17% |
| Pulse Decision Science (R)[66][B] | April 6–9, 2025 | 501 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 46% | 42% | – | 12% |
| Noble Predictive Insights[70] | February 11–13, 2025 | 1,006 (RV) | ± 3.1% | 40% | 38% | 5% | 17% |
| Kreate Strategies (R)[90][E] | February 5–7, 2025 | 924 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 43% | 44% | – | 13% |
Katie Hobbs vs. David Schweikert
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[b] |
Margin of error |
Katie Hobbs (D) |
David Schweikert (R) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Noble Predictive Insights[55] | May 5–7, 2026 | 996 (RV) | ± 3.1% | 42% | 35% | 7%[o] | 16% |
| Noble Predictive Insights[57] | February 23–26, 2026 | 1,023 (RV) | ± 3.1% | 44% | 35% | 5%[l] | 16% |
| Center for Excellence in Polling[58] | January 22–24, 2026 | 519 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 51% | 38% | – | 11% |
| Emerson College[59] | November 8–10, 2025 | 850 (RV) | ± 3.3% | 44% | 39% | – | 17% |
See also
Notes
- Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
- Key:
A – all adults
RV – registered voters
LV – likely voters
V – unclear - Scott Neely with 3%; Ken Miceli with 2%
- Scott Neely with 2%; Ken Miceli with 1%
- "Someone else" with 1%
- Tom Hatten with 2%; Scott Neely with 1%
- "Refused" with 4%
- Nominee for Governor of Arizona in 2002, 2006, 2010, and 2014, 2018, and 2022; nominee for U.S. Senate in 2000, and write-in candidate in 2018 and 2020
- Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
- Hugh Lytle (I) with 5%; "A third-party candidate not listed" with 1%
- "Someone else" with 2%
- "Third-Party" with 5%
- "Third party candidate" with 4%
- "A third party candidate" with 5%
- Hugh Lytle (I) with 6%; "A third-party candidate not listed" with 1%
Partisan clients
- Poll sponsored by American Commitment
- Poll sponsored by Club for Growth
- Poll sponsored by AZ Free News
- Poll sponsored by League of American Workers
- Poll sponsored by American Encore, which supports the Republican Party.
References
- "2026 State Primary Election Dates". NCSL. May 9, 2025. Retrieved August 5, 2025.
- Barchenger, Stacey (September 21, 2023). "Arizona will elect its first lieutenant governor in 2026. What to know about the role". The Arizona Republic. Retrieved October 14, 2024.
- Biden carries Arizona, flipping a longtime Republican stronghold, CNN, November 13, 2020
- US election: How big a win was this for Donald Trump?, Sky News, January 20, 2025
- Democrat Gallego wins Arizona, Republicans hold 53-47 US Senate majority, Al Jazeera, November 12, 2024
- Mark Kelly wins Senate race in Arizona, PBS, November 12, 2022
- Hobbs wins Arizona governor's race, flipping state for Dems, AP News, November 14, 2022
- Post-Election: Republicans Add to Strong Hold of State Governments, MultiState.US, November 6, 2024
- Republicans maintain total control of the Arizona Legislature. Here's what you need to know., The Copper Courier, November 20, 2024
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Fontes told The Post this week that he is running for reelection and is no longer considering challenging Hobbs in the Democratic primary for governor.
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There's also been talk from the Democratic side of Attorney General Kris Mayes challenging [Katie Hobbs]...She says as of right now she's planning on running for reelection.
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Rep. Juan Ciscomani (R-Ariz.) will run for reelection to Congress rather than mount a bid for governor in 2026, his campaign spokesperson told Axios.
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A smattering of prominent and not-so-prominent Republicans are being mentioned as possibilities for making a run at Democratic Gov. Katie Hobbs in 2026...some are floating Sen. Jake Hoffman as a possibility.
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- "2026 Governor". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved May 1, 2025.
- Taylor, Jessica (June 2026). "2026 Governor Race Ratings". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved June 26, 2026.
- "Polling for 2026 Governor Races". Race to the WH. Retrieved March 8, 2026.
- "2026 Arizona Governor - Biggs vs. Hobbs". RealClearPolitics.com. Retrieved November 14, 2025.
- "League of American Workers Survey — Arizona". TIPP Insights. April 29, 2026. Retrieved April 29, 2026.
- Pekau, Gregg (December 18, 2025). "Could Republicans be in trouble in Arizona? New polling seems to suggest it". NextGen P. Retrieved December 18, 2025.
- "Arizona 2026 General Ballot Poll" (PDF). Kreate Strategies. February 8, 2025. Archived from the original (PDF) on February 14, 2025. Retrieved February 12, 2025.
External links
- Official campaign websites