Deniyaya Polling Division

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Deniyaya
Polling Division
Location of Deniyaya
Coordinates: 6°17′05″N 80°29′21″E / 6.284619°N 80.489104°E / 6.284619; 80.489104
CountrySri Lanka
ProvinceSouthern Province, Sri Lanka
Electoral DistrictMatara Electoral District
Area
 • Total
312.8 km2 (120.8 sq mi)
Population
 (2012)[1]
 • Total
114,441
 • Density366/km2 (950/sq mi)
ISO 3166 codeEC-08A

The Deniyaya Polling Division is a Polling Division in the Matara Electoral District, in the Southern Province, Sri Lanka.

Presidential Election Results

Summary

The winner of Deniyaya has matched the final country result 6 out of 8 times. Hence, Deniyaya is a Weak Bellwether for Presidential Elections.

Year Deniyaya Matara Electoral District MAE[2] % Sri Lanka MAE[3] %
2019 SLPP SLPP 3.14% SLPP 11.08%
2015 UPFA UPFA 0.29% NDF 9.88%
2010 UPFA UPFA 0.32% UPFA 7.74%
2005 UPFA UPFA 5.82% UPFA 5.72%
1999 PA PA 1.49% PA 2.71%
1994 PA PA 3.96% PA 1.59%
1988 SLFP SLFP 3.74% UNP 4.40%
1982 UNP UNP 2.08% UNP 1.64%
Matches/Mean MAE 6/8 6/8 2.60% 8/8 5.59%

2019 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Deniyaya[4] Matara Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
SLPP 54,472 64.04% 374,481 67.25% 6,924,255 52.25%
NDF 25,763 30.29% 149,026 26.76% 5,564,239 41.99%
NMPP 2,786 3.28% 23,439 4.21% 418,553 3.16%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 2,041 2.40% 9,922 1.78% 345,452 2.61%
Valid Votes 85,062 99.15% 556,868 99.33% 13,252,499 98.99%
Rejected Votes 731 0.85% 3,782 0.67% 135,452 1.01%
Total Polled 85,793 85.57% 560,650 85.93% 13,387,951 83.71%
Registered Electors 100,264 652,417 15,992,568

2015 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Deniyaya[5] Matara Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 44,273 57.39% 297,823 57.81% 5,768,090 47.58%
NDF 31,716 41.12% 212,435 41.24% 6,217,162 51.28%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 1,149 1.49% 4,892 0.95% 138,200 1.14%
Valid Votes 77,138 98.73% 515,150 99.06% 12,123,452 98.85%
Rejected Votes 990 1.27% 4,891 0.94% 140,925 1.15%
Total Polled 78,128 80.04% 520,041 80.23% 12,264,377 78.69%
Registered Electors 97,610 648,213 15,585,942

2010 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Deniyaya[6] Matara Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 42,999 65.53% 296,155 65.53% 6,015,934 57.88%
NDF 20,939 31.91% 148,510 32.86% 4,173,185 40.15%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 1,675 2.55% 7,264 1.61% 204,494 1.97%
Valid Votes 65,613 99.06% 451,929 99.34% 10,393,613 99.03%
Rejected Votes 624 0.94% 3,025 0.66% 101,838 0.97%
Total Polled 66,237 76.74% 454,954 76.51% 10,495,451 66.70%
Registered Electors 86,311 594,628 15,734,587

2005 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Deniyaya[7] Matara Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 36,916 55.79% 279,411 61.85% 4,887,152 50.29%
UNP 28,015 42.34% 165,837 36.71% 4,706,366 48.43%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 1,242 1.88% 6,474 1.43% 123,521 1.27%
Valid Votes 66,173 98.69% 451,722 99.11% 9,717,039 98.88%
Rejected Votes 879 1.31% 4,077 0.89% 109,869 1.12%
Total Polled 67,052 81.14% 455,799 78.95% 9,826,908 69.51%
Registered Electors 82,636 577,327 14,136,979

1999 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Deniyaya[8] Matara Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
PA 29,229 53.09% 205,685 54.32% 4,312,157 51.12%
UNP 21,400 38.87% 139,677 36.89% 3,602,748 42.71%
JVP 3,108 5.65% 26,229 6.93% 343,927 4.08%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 1,318 2.39% 7,047 1.86% 176,679 2.09%
Valid Votes 55,055 97.41% 378,638 97.78% 8,435,754 97.69%
Rejected Votes 1,464 2.59% 8,583 2.22% 199,536 2.31%
Total Polled 56,519 75.96% 387,221 73.90% 8,635,290 72.17%
Registered Electors 74,409 524,002 11,965,536

1994 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Deniyaya[9] Matara Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
PA 30,662 60.40% 227,865 64.69% 4,709,205 62.28%
UNP 18,819 37.07% 118,224 33.56% 2,715,283 35.91%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 1,284 2.53% 6,150 1.75% 137,040 1.81%
Valid Votes 50,765 97.52% 352,239 98.40% 7,561,526 98.03%
Rejected Votes 1,293 2.48% 5,731 1.60% 151,706 1.97%
Total Polled 52,058 73.21% 357,970 69.93% 7,713,232 69.12%
Registered Electors 71,106 511,933 11,158,880

1988 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Deniyaya[10] Matara Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
SLFP 10,949 50.55% 57,424 54.30% 2,289,857 44.95%
UNP 10,157 46.89% 45,399 42.93% 2,569,199 50.43%
SLMP 554 2.56% 2,922 2.76% 235,701 4.63%
Valid Votes 21,660 98.28% 105,745 98.14% 5,094,754 98.24%
Rejected Votes 378 1.72% 2,003 1.86% 91,499 1.76%
Total Polled 22,038 37.77% 107,748 23.80% 5,186,256 55.87%
Registered Electors 58,342 452,637 9,283,143

1982 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Deniyaya[11] Matara Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 22,457 52.41% 164,725 49.32% 3,450,815 52.93%
SLFP 18,147 42.36% 144,587 43.29% 2,546,348 39.05%
JVP 1,886 4.40% 22,117 6.62% 273,428 4.19%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 355 0.83% 2,554 0.76% 249,460 3.83%
Valid Votes 42,845 99.01% 333,983 99.08% 6,520,156 98.78%
Rejected Votes 428 0.99% 3,091 0.92% 80,470 1.22%
Total Polled 43,273 86.86% 337,074 82.90% 6,600,626 80.15%
Registered Electors 49,817 406,595 8,235,358

Parliamentary Election Results

Summary

The winner of Deniyaya has matched the final country result 6 out of 7 times. Hence, Deniyaya is a Strong Bellwether for Parliamentary Elections.

Year Deniyaya Matara Electoral District MAE[12] % Sri Lanka MAE[13] %
2015 UPFA UPFA 1.96% UNP 5.45%
2010 UPFA UPFA 1.19% UPFA 4.32%
2004 UPFA UPFA 3.96% UPFA 6.15%
2001 UNP UNP 1.45% UNP 2.35%
2000 PA PA 2.12% PA 2.94%
1994 PA PA 4.88% PA 3.55%
1989 UNP UNP 1.85% UNP 5.34%
Matches/Mean MAE 6/7 6/7 2.49% 7/7 4.30%

2015 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Deniyaya[14] Matara Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 36,532 51.49% 250,505 52.70% 4,732,664 42.48%
UNP 30,024 42.31% 186,675 39.27% 5,098,916 45.77%
JVP 4,070 5.74% 35,270 7.42% 544,154 4.88%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 328 0.46% 2,890 0.61% 62,184 0.56%
Valid Votes 70,954 96.17% 475,340 96.93% 11,140,333 95.35%
Rejected Votes 2,702 3.66% 12,692 2.59% 516,926 4.42%
Total Polled 73,776 75.58% 490,409 78.61% 11,684,111 77.66%
Registered Electors 97,610 623,818 15,044,490

2010 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Deniyaya[15] Matara Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 30,270 66.82% 213,937 65.31% 4,846,388 60.38%
UNP 12,737 28.12% 91,114 27.81% 2,357,057 29.37%
DNA 1,960 4.33% 20,465 6.25% 441,251 5.50%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 333 0.74% 2,066 0.63% 53,531 0.67%
Valid Votes 45,300 94.34% 327,582 95.82% 8,026,322 96.03%
Rejected Votes 2,718 5.66% 14,289 4.18% 581,465 6.96%
Total Polled 48,018 55.63% 341,871 59.06% 8,358,246 59.29%
Registered Electors 86,311 578,858 14,097,690

2004 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Deniyaya[16] Matara Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 33,051 56.79% 241,235 60.27% 4,223,126 45.70%
UNP 23,262 39.97% 139,633 34.89% 3,486,792 37.73%
JHU 1,197 2.06% 16,229 4.05% 552,723 5.98%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 692 1.19% 3,136 0.78% 54,133 0.59%
Valid Votes 58,202 92.76% 400,233 94.62% 9,241,931 94.52%
Rejected Votes 4,545 7.24% 22,769 5.38% 534,452 5.47%
Total Polled 62,747 78.18% 423,002 76.84% 9,777,821 75.74%
Registered Electors 80,259 550,506 12,909,631

2001 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Deniyaya[17] Matara Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 26,114 44.70% 171,661 42.49% 4,086,026 45.62%
PA 24,399 41.76% 171,141 42.37% 3,330,815 37.19%
JVP 6,776 11.60% 54,476 13.49% 815,353 9.10%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 1,134 1.94% 6,689 1.66% 133,373 1.49%
Valid Votes 58,423 93.55% 403,967 95.10% 8,955,844 94.77%
Rejected Votes 4,030 6.45% 20,820 4.90% 494,009 5.23%
Total Polled 62,453 80.54% 424,787 79.44% 9,449,878 76.03%
Registered Electors 77,540 534,694 12,428,762

2000 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Deniyaya[18] Matara Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
PA 29,427 50.80% 203,690 51.47% 3,899,329 45.33%
UNP 23,807 41.10% 146,855 37.11% 3,451,765 40.12%
JVP 3,986 6.88% 38,757 9.79% 518,725 6.03%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 710 1.23% 6,462 1.63% 238,931 2.78%
Valid Votes 57,930 N/A 395,764 N/A 8,602,617 N/A

1994 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Deniyaya[19] Matara Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
PA 30,743 55.29% 227,285 59.90% 3,887,805 48.94%
UNP 23,930 43.03% 142,024 37.43% 3,498,370 44.04%
SLPF 756 1.36% 8,736 2.30% 90,078 1.13%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 178 0.32% 1,422 0.37% 68,538 0.86%
Valid Votes 55,607 94.35% 379,467 95.67% 7,943,688 95.20%
Rejected Votes 3,330 5.65% 17,167 4.33% 400,395 4.80%
Total Polled 58,937 82.89% 396,634 77.60% 8,344,095 74.75%
Registered Electors 71,106 511,109 11,163,064

1989 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Deniyaya[20] Matara Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 3,556 57.76% 45,734 56.11% 2,838,005 50.71%
SLFP 2,301 37.37% 28,752 35.28% 1,785,369 31.90%
MEP 105 1.71% 1,313 1.61% 90,480 1.62%
USA 104 1.69% 4,225 5.18% 141,983 2.54%
ELJP 91 1.48% 1,481 1.82% 67,723 1.21%
Valid Votes 6,157 91.57% 81,505 94.08% 5,596,468 93.87%
Rejected Votes 567 8.43% 5,128 5.92% 365,563 6.13%
Total Polled 6,724 11.59% 86,633 19.17% 5,962,031 63.60%
Registered Electors 58,008 451,926 9,374,164

Demographics

Ethnicity

The Deniyaya Polling Division has a Sinhalese majority (86.2%) . In comparison, the Matara Electoral District (which contains the Deniyaya Polling Division) has a Sinhalese majority (94.3%) [1]

Ethnicity in Deniyaya[1]
  1. Sinhalese (86.2%)
  2. Indian Tamil (8.30%)
  3. Sri Lankan Tamil (5.30%)
  4. Other (0.10%)

Religion

The Deniyaya Polling Division has a Buddhist majority (86.3%) and a significant Hindu population (10.9%) . In comparison, the Matara Electoral District (which contains the Deniyaya Polling Division) has a Buddhist majority (94.1%) [1]

Religion in Deniyaya[1]
  1. Buddhist (86.3%)
  2. Hindu (10.9%)
  3. Other Christian (1.50%)
  4. Roman Catholic (1.00%)
  5. Other (0.20%)

References

  1. "Census of Population and Housing 2012". statistics.gov.lk. Department of Census and Statistics, Sri Lanka. 2012.
  2. The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Deniyaya and the Matara Electoral District. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
  3. The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Deniyaya and the country. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
  4. "2019 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2019. Archived from the original on 2019-12-19. Retrieved 2020-06-10.
  5. "2015 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2015. Archived from the original on 2019-12-19. Retrieved 2020-06-10.
  6. "2010 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2010. Archived from the original on 2019-12-19. Retrieved 2020-06-10.
  7. "2005 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2005. Archived from the original on 2019-12-19. Retrieved 2020-06-10.
  8. "1999 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1999. Archived from the original on 2019-12-19. Retrieved 2020-06-10.
  9. "1994 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1994. Archived from the original on 2019-12-19. Retrieved 2020-06-10.
  10. "1988 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1988. Archived from the original on 2019-12-19. Retrieved 2020-06-10.
  11. "1982 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1982. Archived from the original on 2019-12-19. Retrieved 2020-06-10.
  12. The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Deniyaya and the Matara Electoral District. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
  13. The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Deniyaya and the country. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
  14. "2015 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2015.
  15. "2010 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2010.
  16. "2004 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2004.
  17. "2001 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2001.
  18. "2000 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2000.
  19. "1994 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1994.
  20. "1989 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1989.