Ja Ela Polling Division

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Ja Ela
Polling Division
Location of Ja Ela
Coordinates: 7°04′11″N 79°54′40″E / 7.069842°N 79.910999°E / 7.069842; 79.910999
CountrySri Lanka
ProvinceWestern Province, Sri Lanka
Electoral DistrictGampaha Electoral District
Area
 • Total
67.13 km2 (25.92 sq mi)
Population
 (2012)[1]
 • Total
201,521
 • Density3,002/km2 (7,780/sq mi)
ISO 3166 codeEC-02I

The Ja Ela Polling Division is a Polling Division in the Gampaha Electoral District, in the Western Province, Sri Lanka.

Presidential Election Results

Summary

The winner of Ja Ela has matched the final country result 9 out of 9 times. Hence, Ja Ela is a Perfect Bellwether for Presidential Elections.

Year Ja Ela Gampaha Electoral District MAE[2] % Sri Lanka MAE[3] %
2019 SLPP SLPP 0.36% SLPP 6.75%
2015 NDF NDF 2.11% NDF 0.45%
2010 UPFA UPFA 3.38% UPFA 0.52%
2005 UPFA UPFA 2.84% UPFA 1.46%
1999 PA PA 0.27% PA 4.76%
1994 PA PA 0.99% PA 1.26%
1988 UNP SLFP 4.32% UNP 1.39%
1982 UNP UNP 5.38% UNP 3.39%
Matches/Mean MAE 8/8 7/8 2.46% 8/8 2.50%

2019 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Ja Ela[4] Gampaha Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
SLPP 71,690 58.76% 855,870 59.28% 6,924,255 52.25%
NDF 41,649 34.14% 494,671 34.26% 5,564,239 41.99%
NMPP 5,556 4.55% 61,760 4.28% 418,553 3.16%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 1,575 1.29% 20,227 1.40% 295,797 2.23%
NPP 1,527 1.25% 11,272 0.78% 49,655 0.37%
Valid Votes 121,997 98.69% 1,443,800 98.92% 13,252,499 98.99%
Rejected Votes 1,625 1.31% 15,751 1.08% 135,452 1.01%
Total Polled 123,622 80.71% 1,459,551 83.31% 13,387,951 83.71%
Registered Electors 153,164 1,751,892 15,992,568

2015 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Ja Ela[5] Gampaha Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
NDF 58,669 52.01% 669,007 49.83% 6,217,162 51.28%
UPFA 53,481 47.41% 664,347 49.49% 5,768,090 47.58%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 647 0.57% 9,142 0.68% 138,200 1.14%
Valid Votes 112,797 98.62% 1,342,496 98.92% 12,123,452 98.85%
Rejected Votes 1,584 1.38% 14,647 1.08% 140,925 1.15%
Total Polled 114,381 79.52% 1,357,143 80.77% 12,264,377 78.69%
Registered Electors 143,843 1,680,263 15,585,942

2010 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Ja Ela[6] Gampaha Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 56,726 58.31% 718,716 61.66% 6,015,934 57.88%
NDF 39,701 40.81% 434,506 37.28% 4,173,185 40.15%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 852 0.88% 12,426 1.07% 204,494 1.97%
Valid Votes 97,279 99.29% 1,165,648 99.24% 10,393,613 99.03%
Rejected Votes 692 0.71% 8,960 0.76% 101,838 0.97%
Total Polled 97,971 76.65% 1,174,608 78.03% 10,495,451 66.70%
Registered Electors 127,821 1,505,363 15,734,587

2005 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Ja Ela[7] Gampaha Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 46,950 51.96% 596,698 54.78% 4,887,152 50.29%
UNP 42,606 47.15% 481,764 44.23% 4,706,366 48.43%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 806 0.89% 10,815 0.99% 123,521 1.27%
Valid Votes 90,362 98.93% 1,089,277 98.94% 9,717,039 98.88%
Rejected Votes 973 1.07% 11,724 1.06% 109,869 1.12%
Total Polled 91,335 78.04% 1,101,001 79.17% 9,826,908 69.51%
Registered Electors 117,040 1,390,691 14,136,979

1999 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Ja Ela[8] Gampaha Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
PA 44,098 56.64% 532,796 56.58% 4,312,157 51.12%
UNP 29,726 38.18% 353,969 37.59% 3,602,748 42.71%
JVP 3,089 3.97% 40,472 4.30% 343,927 4.08%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 939 1.21% 14,382 1.53% 176,679 2.09%
Valid Votes 77,852 97.79% 941,619 97.84% 8,435,754 97.69%
Rejected Votes 1,759 2.21% 20,768 2.16% 199,536 2.31%
Total Polled 79,611 76.49% 962,387 77.12% 8,635,290 72.17%
Registered Electors 104,076 1,247,860 11,965,536

1994 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Ja Ela[9] Gampaha Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
PA 44,166 63.80% 550,654 64.74% 4,709,205 62.28%
UNP 24,260 35.04% 288,608 33.93% 2,715,283 35.91%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 804 1.16% 11,256 1.32% 137,040 1.81%
Valid Votes 69,230 98.38% 850,518 98.48% 7,561,526 98.03%
Rejected Votes 1,141 1.62% 13,137 1.52% 151,706 1.97%
Total Polled 70,371 72.32% 863,655 74.16% 7,713,232 69.12%
Registered Electors 97,305 1,164,625 11,158,880

1988 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Ja Ela[10] Gampaha Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 30,021 52.54% 350,092 48.08% 2,569,199 50.43%
SLFP 25,357 44.37% 355,553 48.83% 2,289,857 44.95%
SLMP 1,766 3.09% 22,467 3.09% 235,701 4.63%
Valid Votes 57,144 98.19% 728,112 98.63% 5,094,754 98.24%
Rejected Votes 1,052 1.81% 10,108 1.37% 91,499 1.76%
Total Polled 58,196 71.35% 738,220 74.93% 5,186,256 55.87%
Registered Electors 81,566 985,206 9,283,143

1982 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Ja Ela[11] Gampaha Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 32,420 58.20% 365,847 52.50% 3,450,815 52.93%
SLFP 21,074 37.83% 301,808 43.31% 2,546,348 39.05%
JVP 1,683 3.02% 23,701 3.40% 273,428 4.19%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 532 0.95% 5,491 0.79% 249,460 3.83%
Valid Votes 55,709 99.13% 696,847 99.15% 6,520,156 98.78%
Rejected Votes 488 0.87% 5,992 0.85% 80,470 1.22%
Total Polled 56,197 80.71% 702,839 82.70% 6,600,626 80.15%
Registered Electors 69,624 849,896 8,235,358

Parliamentary Election Results

Summary

The winner of Ja Ela has matched the final country result 7 out of 7 times. Hence, Ja Ela is a Perfect Bellwether for Parliamentary Elections.

Year Ja Ela Gampaha Electoral District MAE[12] % Sri Lanka MAE[13] %
2015 UNP UNP 2.92% UNP 2.48%
2010 UPFA UPFA 5.82% UPFA 3.72%
2004 UPFA UPFA 2.16% UPFA 3.53%
2001 UNP UNP 1.58% UNP 1.75%
2000 PA PA 1.43% PA 1.62%
1994 PA PA 1.33% PA 3.53%
1989 UNP UNP 6.90% UNP 6.30%
Matches/Mean MAE 7/7 7/7 3.16% 7/7 3.28%

2015 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Ja Ela[14] Gampaha Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 51,807 49.89% 577,004 47.17% 5,098,916 45.77%
UPFA 43,051 41.46% 549,958 44.96% 4,732,664 42.48%
JVP 8,333 8.02% 87,880 7.18% 544,154 4.88%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 651 0.63% 8,332 0.68% 81,501 0.73%
Valid Votes 103,842 95.88% 1,223,174 95.51% 11,140,333 95.35%
Rejected Votes 4,283 3.95% 56,246 4.39% 516,926 4.42%
Total Polled 108,301 75.29% 1,280,647 78.21% 11,684,111 77.66%
Registered Electors 143,843 1,637,537 15,044,490

2010 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Ja Ela[15] Gampaha Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 43,920 56.82% 589,476 63.40% 4,846,388 60.38%
UNP 26,397 34.15% 266,523 28.67% 2,357,057 29.37%
DNA 6,544 8.47% 69,747 7.50% 441,251 5.50%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 436 0.56% 3,985 0.43% 19,003 0.24%
Valid Votes 77,297 94.80% 929,731 94.83% 8,026,322 96.03%
Rejected Votes 4,208 5.16% 50,234 5.12% 581,465 6.96%
Total Polled 81,537 63.79% 980,467 65.06% 8,358,246 59.29%
Registered Electors 127,821 1,506,969 14,097,690

2004 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Ja Ela[16] Gampaha Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 42,453 50.66% 509,963 51.52% 4,223,126 45.70%
UNP 34,248 40.87% 367,572 37.14% 3,486,792 37.73%
JHU 6,009 7.17% 102,516 10.36% 552,723 5.98%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 1,083 1.29% 9,691 0.98% 57,229 0.62%
Valid Votes 83,793 96.52% 989,742 95.96% 9,241,931 94.52%
Rejected Votes 2,997 3.45% 41,462 4.02% 534,452 5.47%
Total Polled 86,813 76.45% 1,031,464 77.72% 9,777,821 75.74%
Registered Electors 113,559 1,327,145 12,909,631

2001 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Ja Ela[17] Gampaha Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 38,219 45.57% 437,289 43.94% 4,086,026 45.62%
PA 34,522 41.16% 428,780 43.08% 3,330,815 37.19%
JVP 9,856 11.75% 113,990 11.45% 815,353 9.10%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 1,273 1.52% 15,171 1.52% 137,826 1.54%
Valid Votes 83,870 97.08% 995,230 96.30% 8,955,844 94.77%
Rejected Votes 2,524 2.92% 38,187 3.70% 494,009 5.23%
Total Polled 86,394 78.68% 1,033,417 80.36% 9,449,878 76.03%
Registered Electors 109,799 1,285,973 12,428,762

2000 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Ja Ela[18] Gampaha Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
PA 38,150 47.55% 470,018 48.87% 3,899,329 45.33%
UNP 33,089 41.24% 378,328 39.34% 3,451,765 40.12%
JVP 6,198 7.72% 73,110 7.60% 518,725 6.03%
SU 2,180 2.72% 20,297 2.11% 127,859 1.49%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 622 0.78% 19,956 2.08% 319,123 3.71%
Valid Votes 80,239 N/A 961,709 N/A 8,602,617 N/A

1994 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Ja Ela[19] Gampaha Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
PA 40,838 55.44% 509,030 56.79% 3,887,805 48.94%
UNP 31,851 43.24% 375,631 41.91% 3,498,370 44.04%
SLPF 970 1.32% 11,627 1.30% 90,078 1.13%
Valid Votes 73,659 96.63% 896,288 96.39% 7,943,688 95.20%
Rejected Votes 2,567 3.37% 33,553 3.61% 400,395 4.80%
Total Polled 76,226 78.34% 929,841 79.65% 8,344,095 74.75%
Registered Electors 97,305 1,167,469 11,163,064

1989 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Ja Ela[20] Gampaha Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 34,415 61.53% 385,733 54.14% 2,838,005 50.71%
SLFP 19,230 34.38% 294,490 41.34% 1,785,369 31.90%
USA 1,901 3.40% 21,665 3.04% 141,983 2.54%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 390 0.70% 10,549 1.48% 67,723 1.21%
Valid Votes 55,936 95.49% 712,437 95.64% 5,596,468 93.87%
Rejected Votes 2,640 4.51% 32,497 4.36% 365,563 6.13%
Total Polled 58,576 73.12% 744,934 76.82% 5,962,031 63.60%
Registered Electors 80,113 969,658 9,374,164

Demographics

Ethnicity

The Ja Ela Polling Division has a Sinhalese majority (92.3%) . In comparison, the Gampaha Electoral District (which contains the Ja Ela Polling Division) has a Sinhalese majority (90.5%) [1]

Ethnicity in Ja Ela[1]
  1. Sinhalese (92.3%)
  2. Sri Lankan Tamil (4.00%)
  3. Other (2.00%)
  4. Burgher (1.70%)

Religion

The Ja Ela Polling Division has a Roman Catholic plurality (49.4%) and a significant Buddhist population (43.6%) . In comparison, the Gampaha Electoral District (which contains the Ja Ela Polling Division) has a Buddhist majority (71.3%) and a significant Roman Catholic population (19.5%) [1]

Religion in Ja Ela[1]
  1. Roman Catholic (49.4%)
  2. Buddhist (43.6%)
  3. Other Christian (3.80%)
  4. Hindu (2.10%)
  5. Muslim (1.00%)
  6. Other (0.10%)

References

  1. "Census of Population and Housing 2012". statistics.gov.lk. Department of Census and Statistics, Sri Lanka. 2012.
  2. The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Ja Ela and the Gampaha Electoral District. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
  3. The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Ja Ela and the country. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
  4. "2019 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2019. Archived from the original on 2019-12-19. Retrieved 2020-06-10.
  5. "2015 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2015. Archived from the original on 2019-12-19. Retrieved 2020-06-10.
  6. "2010 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2010. Archived from the original on 2019-12-19. Retrieved 2020-06-10.
  7. "2005 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2005. Archived from the original on 2019-12-19. Retrieved 2020-06-10.
  8. "1999 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1999. Archived from the original on 2019-12-19. Retrieved 2020-06-10.
  9. "1994 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1994. Archived from the original on 2019-12-19. Retrieved 2020-06-10.
  10. "1988 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1988. Archived from the original on 2019-12-19. Retrieved 2020-06-10.
  11. "1982 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1982. Archived from the original on 2019-12-19. Retrieved 2020-06-10.
  12. The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Ja Ela and the Gampaha Electoral District. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
  13. The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Ja Ela and the country. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
  14. "2015 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2015.
  15. "2010 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2010.
  16. "2004 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2004.
  17. "2001 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2001.
  18. "2000 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2000.
  19. "1994 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1994.
  20. "1989 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1989.