Kalutara Polling Division

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Kalutara
Polling Division
Location of Kalutara
Coordinates: 6°37′04″N 79°58′03″E / 6.617818°N 79.967553°E / 6.617818; 79.967553
CountrySri Lanka
ProvinceWestern Province, Sri Lanka
Electoral DistrictKalutara Electoral District
Area
 • Total
80.72 km2 (31.17 sq mi)
Population
 (2012)[1]
 • Total
159,697
 • Density1,978/km2 (5,120/sq mi)
ISO 3166 codeEC-03F

The Kalutara Polling Division is a Polling Division in the Kalutara Electoral District, in the Western Province, Sri Lanka.

Presidential Election Results

Summary

The winner of Kalutara has matched the final country result 7 out of 8 times. Hence, Kalutara is a Strong Bellwether for Presidential Elections.

Year Kalutara Kalutara Electoral District MAE[2] % Sri Lanka MAE[3] %
2019 SLPP SLPP 0.54% SLPP 7.30%
2015 UPFA UPFA 0.93% NDF 3.94%
2010 UPFA UPFA 0.61% UPFA 4.28%
2005 UPFA UPFA 1.60% UPFA 6.73%
1999 PA PA 0.37% PA 2.07%
1994 PA PA 0.45% PA 0.48%
1988 UNP SLFP 1.58% UNP 2.54%
1982 UNP UNP 1.01% UNP 3.72%
Matches/Mean MAE 7/8 6/8 0.89% 8/8 3.88%

2019 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Kalutara[4] Kalutara Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
SLPP 59,796 59.82% 482,920 59.49% 6,924,255 52.25%
NDF 34,076 34.09% 284,213 35.01% 5,564,239 41.99%
NMPP 4,034 4.04% 27,681 3.41% 418,553 3.16%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 2,059 2.06% 16,949 2.09% 345,452 2.61%
Valid Votes 99,965 99.14% 811,763 99.16% 13,252,499 98.99%
Rejected Votes 870 0.86% 6,847 0.84% 135,452 1.01%
Total Polled 100,835 84.36% 818,610 85.71% 13,387,951 83.71%
Registered Electors 119,526 955,080 15,992,568

2015 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Kalutara[5] Kalutara Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 48,851 51.78% 395,890 52.65% 5,768,090 47.58%
NDF 44,804 47.49% 349,404 46.46% 6,217,162 51.28%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 687 0.73% 6,690 0.89% 138,200 1.14%
Valid Votes 94,342 99.05% 751,984 98.90% 12,123,452 98.85%
Rejected Votes 905 0.95% 8,381 1.10% 140,925 1.15%
Total Polled 95,247 80.77% 760,365 82.08% 12,264,377 78.69%
Registered Electors 117,931 926,346 15,585,942

2010 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Kalutara[6] Kalutara Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 51,330 62.53% 412,562 63.06% 6,015,934 57.88%
NDF 29,719 36.21% 231,807 35.43% 4,173,185 40.15%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 1,036 1.26% 9,880 1.51% 204,494 1.97%
Valid Votes 82,085 99.30% 654,249 99.31% 10,393,613 99.03%
Rejected Votes 581 0.70% 4,541 0.69% 101,838 0.97%
Total Polled 82,666 77.35% 658,790 79.05% 10,495,451 66.70%
Registered Electors 106,878 833,360 15,734,587

2005 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Kalutara[7] Kalutara Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 45,143 57.19% 341,693 55.48% 4,887,152 50.29%
UNP 32,916 41.70% 266,043 43.20% 4,706,366 48.43%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 871 1.10% 8,124 1.32% 123,521 1.27%
Valid Votes 78,930 98.99% 615,860 98.95% 9,717,039 98.88%
Rejected Votes 808 1.01% 6,517 1.05% 109,869 1.12%
Total Polled 79,738 78.16% 622,377 79.67% 9,826,908 69.51%
Registered Electors 102,020 781,175 14,136,979

1999 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Kalutara[8] Kalutara Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
PA 35,751 53.03% 281,217 52.88% 4,312,157 51.12%
UNP 27,131 40.25% 217,423 40.88% 3,602,748 42.71%
JVP 3,369 5.00% 23,770 4.47% 343,927 4.08%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 1,162 1.72% 9,399 1.77% 176,679 2.09%
Valid Votes 67,413 97.77% 531,809 97.83% 8,435,754 97.69%
Rejected Votes 1,540 2.23% 11,796 2.17% 199,536 2.31%
Total Polled 68,953 76.00% 543,605 78.23% 8,635,290 72.17%
Registered Electors 90,723 694,860 11,965,536

1994 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Kalutara[9] Kalutara Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
PA 37,490 61.97% 295,686 61.47% 4,709,205 62.28%
UNP 22,209 36.71% 178,466 37.10% 2,715,283 35.91%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 794 1.31% 6,867 1.43% 137,040 1.81%
Valid Votes 60,493 98.49% 481,019 98.50% 7,561,526 98.03%
Rejected Votes 929 1.51% 7,309 1.50% 151,706 1.97%
Total Polled 61,422 71.06% 488,328 73.97% 7,713,232 69.12%
Registered Electors 86,437 660,191 11,158,880

1988 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Kalutara[10] Kalutara Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 22,551 47.44% 169,510 46.74% 2,569,199 50.43%
SLFP 22,425 47.18% 179,761 49.57% 2,289,857 44.95%
SLMP 2,559 5.38% 13,375 3.69% 235,701 4.63%
Valid Votes 47,535 97.62% 362,646 98.23% 5,094,754 98.24%
Rejected Votes 1,161 2.38% 6,537 1.77% 91,499 1.76%
Total Polled 48,696 64.15% 369,183 64.20% 5,186,256 55.87%
Registered Electors 75,912 575,008 9,283,143

1982 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Kalutara[11] Kalutara Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 26,167 49.07% 211,592 50.15% 3,450,815 52.93%
SLFP 22,992 43.12% 185,874 44.06% 2,546,348 39.05%
JVP 2,306 4.32% 14,499 3.44% 273,428 4.19%
LSSP 1,707 3.20% 8,613 2.04% 58,531 0.90%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 151 0.28% 1,314 0.31% 190,929 2.93%
Valid Votes 53,323 98.87% 421,892 98.76% 6,520,156 98.78%
Rejected Votes 612 1.13% 5,290 1.24% 80,470 1.22%
Total Polled 53,935 83.05% 427,182 83.97% 6,600,626 80.15%
Registered Electors 64,944 508,744 8,235,358

Parliamentary Election Results

Summary

The winner of Kalutara has matched the final country result 6 out of 7 times. Hence, Kalutara is a Strong Bellwether for Parliamentary Elections.

Year Kalutara Kalutara Electoral District MAE[12] % Sri Lanka MAE[13] %
2015 UPFA UPFA 1.29% UNP 2.14%
2010 UPFA UPFA 0.92% UPFA 2.18%
2004 UPFA UPFA 0.99% UPFA 3.89%
2001 UNP UNP 0.74% UNP 1.56%
2000 PA PA 1.30% PA 0.90%
1994 PA PA 0.36% PA 2.84%
1989 UNP UNP 3.13% UNP 4.11%
Matches/Mean MAE 6/7 6/7 1.25% 7/7 2.52%

2015 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Kalutara[14] Kalutara Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 40,837 46.78% 338,801 48.58% 4,732,664 42.48%
UNP 39,525 45.28% 310,234 44.48% 5,098,916 45.77%
JVP 5,775 6.62% 38,475 5.52% 544,154 4.88%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 1,153 1.32% 9,951 1.43% 85,579 0.77%
Valid Votes 87,290 97.28% 697,461 97.00% 11,140,333 95.35%
Rejected Votes 2,425 2.70% 21,366 2.97% 516,926 4.42%
Total Polled 89,730 76.09% 719,001 80.13% 11,684,111 77.66%
Registered Electors 117,931 897,349 15,044,490

2010 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Kalutara[15] Kalutara Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 38,300 62.81% 313,836 63.74% 4,846,388 60.38%
UNP 16,838 27.61% 139,596 28.35% 2,357,057 29.37%
DNA 5,584 9.16% 36,722 7.46% 441,251 5.50%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 253 0.41% 2,246 0.46% 34,923 0.44%
Valid Votes 60,975 90.91% 492,400 90.41% 8,026,322 96.03%
Rejected Votes 6,056 9.03% 51,751 9.50% 581,465 6.96%
Total Polled 67,070 62.75% 544,606 65.21% 8,358,246 59.29%
Registered Electors 106,878 835,186 14,097,690

2004 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Kalutara[16] Kalutara Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 37,958 52.10% 291,208 51.72% 4,223,126 45.70%
UNP 26,255 36.04% 212,721 37.78% 3,486,792 37.73%
JHU 8,324 11.43% 56,615 10.06% 552,723 5.98%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 317 0.44% 2,475 0.44% 49,030 0.53%
Valid Votes 72,854 95.08% 563,019 94.82% 9,241,931 94.52%
Rejected Votes 3,766 4.92% 30,741 5.18% 534,452 5.47%
Total Polled 76,620 76.67% 593,760 79.58% 9,777,821 75.74%
Registered Electors 99,940 746,138 12,909,631

2001 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Kalutara[17] Kalutara Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 32,344 45.30% 254,339 45.94% 4,086,026 45.62%
PA 28,693 40.18% 226,468 40.91% 3,330,815 37.19%
JVP 8,768 12.28% 60,451 10.92% 815,353 9.10%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 864 1.21% 7,258 1.31% 86,426 0.97%
SU 736 1.03% 5,103 0.92% 50,665 0.57%
Valid Votes 71,405 94.81% 553,619 94.44% 8,955,844 94.77%
Rejected Votes 3,911 5.19% 32,617 5.56% 494,009 5.23%
Total Polled 75,316 78.70% 586,236 81.68% 9,449,878 76.03%
Registered Electors 95,698 717,764 12,428,762

2000 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Kalutara[18] Kalutara Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
PA 31,469 45.50% 255,175 46.86% 3,899,329 45.33%
UNP 26,641 38.52% 217,215 39.89% 3,451,765 40.12%
JVP 5,516 7.97% 38,373 7.05% 518,725 6.03%
NUA 2,464 3.56% 11,943 2.19% 185,593 2.16%
SU 2,428 3.51% 15,619 2.87% 127,859 1.49%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 651 0.94% 6,193 1.14% 136,137 1.58%
Valid Votes 69,169 N/A 544,518 N/A 8,602,617 N/A

1994 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Kalutara[19] Kalutara Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
PA 34,349 53.93% 271,754 53.77% 3,887,805 48.94%
UNP 27,482 43.15% 221,115 43.75% 3,498,370 44.04%
SLPF 1,107 1.74% 6,238 1.23% 90,078 1.13%
MEP 727 1.14% 5,914 1.17% 68,538 0.86%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 27 0.04% 339 0.07% 813 0.01%
Valid Votes 63,692 95.46% 505,360 95.21% 7,943,688 95.20%
Rejected Votes 3,029 4.54% 25,397 4.79% 400,395 4.80%
Total Polled 66,721 77.19% 530,757 80.20% 8,344,095 74.75%
Registered Electors 86,437 661,793 11,163,064

1989 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Kalutara[20] Kalutara Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 17,840 46.77% 160,069 49.84% 2,838,005 50.71%
SLFP 14,374 37.69% 131,510 40.94% 1,785,369 31.90%
USA 3,311 8.68% 12,342 3.84% 141,983 2.54%
SLMC 2,248 5.89% 12,971 4.04% 202,016 3.61%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 369 0.97% 4,301 1.34% 158,203 2.83%
Valid Votes 38,142 94.06% 321,193 94.10% 5,596,468 93.87%
Rejected Votes 2,407 5.94% 20,139 5.90% 365,563 6.13%
Total Polled 40,549 54.82% 341,332 59.86% 5,962,031 63.60%
Registered Electors 73,971 570,193 9,374,164

Demographics

Ethnicity

The Kalutara Polling Division has a Sinhalese majority (90.7%) . In comparison, the Kalutara Electoral District (which contains the Kalutara Polling Division) has a Sinhalese majority (86.8%)[1]

Ethnicity in Kalutara[1]
  1. Sinhalese (90.7%)
  2. Moor (7.80%)
  3. Sri Lankan Tamil (1.10%)
  4. Other (0.40%)

Religion

The Kalutara Polling Division has a Buddhist majority (84.5%) . In comparison, the Kalutara Electoral District (which contains the Kalutara Polling Division) has a Buddhist majority (83.4%)[1]

Religion in Kalutara[1]
  1. Buddhist (84.5%)
  2. Muslim (7.80%)
  3. Roman Catholic (6.10%)
  4. Other (1.50%)

References

  1. "Census of Population and Housing 2012". statistics.gov.lk. Department of Census and Statistics, Sri Lanka. 2012.
  2. The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Kalutara and the Kalutara Electoral District. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
  3. The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Kalutara and the country. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
  4. "2019 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2019.
  5. "2015 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2015.
  6. "2010 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2010.
  7. "2005 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2005.
  8. "1999 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1999.
  9. "1994 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1994.
  10. "1988 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1988.
  11. "1982 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1982.
  12. The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Kalutara and the Kalutara Electoral District. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
  13. The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Kalutara and the country. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
  14. "2015 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2015.
  15. "2010 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2010.
  16. "2004 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2004.
  17. "2001 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2001.
  18. "2000 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2000.
  19. "1994 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1994.
  20. "1989 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1989.