2007 Canarian regional election

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2007 Canarian regional election
27 May 2007
All 60 seats in the Parliament of the Canary Islands
31 seats needed for a majority
Opinion polls
Registered1,556,587 Increase 8.1%
Turnout940,852 (60.4%)
Decrease 4.2 pp
  First party Second party Third party
 
Leader Juan Fernando López Aguilar Paulino Rivero José Manuel Soria
Party PSOE CC–PNC PP
Leader since 28 October 2006 3 February 2007 3 October 1999
Leader's seat Gran Canaria Tenerife Gran Canaria
Last election 17 seats, 25.4% 23 seats, 36.3%[a] 17 seats, 30.6%
Seats won 26 19 15
Seat change Increase 9 Decrease 4 Decrease 2
Popular vote 322,833 225,878 224,883
Percentage 34.5% 24.1% 24.0%
Swing Increase 9.1 pp Decrease 12.2 pp Decrease 6.6 pp
Constituency results map for the Parliament of the Canary Islands
President before election

Adán Martín
CC

 Elected President

Paulino Rivero
CC

A regional election was held in the Canary Islands on 27 May 2007 to elect the 7th Parliament of the autonomous community. All 60 seats in the Parliament were up for election. It was held concurrently with regional elections in twelve other autonomous communities and local elections all across Spain.

Overview

Under the 1982 Statute of Autonomy, the Parliament of the Canary Islands was the unicameral legislature of the homonymous autonomous community, having legislative power in devolved matters, as well as the ability to grant or withdraw confidence from a regional president.[1] The electoral and procedural rules were supplemented by national law provisions.[2]

Date

The term of the Parliament of the Canary Islands expired four years after the date of its previous ordinary election, with election day being fixed for the fourth Sunday of May every four years. The election decree was required to be issued no later than 54 days before the scheduled election date and published on the following day in the Official Gazette of the Canaries (BOC).[3] The previous election was held on 25 May 2003, setting the date for election day on the fourth Sunday of May four years later, which was 27 May 2007.

The Parliament of the Canary Islands could not be dissolved before the expiration date of parliament, except in the event of an investiture process failing to elect a regional president within a two-month period from the first ballot. In such a case, the Parliament was to be automatically dissolved and a snap election called, with elected lawmakers serving the remainder of its original four-year term.[4]

The election to the Parliament of the Canary Islands was officially called on 3 April 2007 with the publication of the corresponding decree in the BOC, setting election day for 27 May.[5]

Electoral system

Voting for the Parliament was based on universal suffrage, comprising all Spanish nationals over 18 years of age, registered in the Canary Islands and with full political rights, provided that they had not been deprived of the right to vote by a final sentence, nor were legally incapacitated.[6]

The Parliament of the Canary Islands had a minimum of 50 and a maximum of 70 seats, with electoral provisions fixing its size at 60. All were elected in seven multi-member constituencies—corresponding to the islands of El Hierro, Fuerteventura, Gran Canaria, La Gomera, La Palma, Lanzarote and Tenerife, each of which was assigned a fixed number of seats—using the D'Hondt method and closed-list proportional voting, with a 30 percent-threshold of valid votes (including blank ballots) in each constituency or six percent regionally.[7]

As a result of the aforementioned allocation, each Parliament constituency was entitled the following seats:[8]

Seats Constituencies
15 Gran Canaria, Tenerife
8 La Palma, Lanzarote
7 Fuerteventura
4 La Gomera
3 El Hierro

The law did not provide for by-elections to fill vacant seats; instead, any vacancies arising after the proclamation of candidates and during the legislative term were filled by the next candidates on the party lists or, when required, by designated substitutes.[9]

Outgoing parliament

The table below shows the composition of the parliamentary groups in the chamber at the time of the election call.[10][11]

Parliamentary composition in April 2007
Groups Parties Legislators
Seats Total
Canarian Coalition Parliamentary Group (CC) CC 21 23
AHI 2
Canarian Socialist Parliamentary Group PSOE 17 17
People's Parliamentary Group PP 16 16
Mixed Parliamentary Group PIL 3 3
Non-Inscrits CCN 1[b] 1

Parties and candidates

The electoral law allowed for parties and federations registered in the interior ministry, alliances and groupings of electors to present lists of candidates. Parties and federations intending to form an alliance were required to inform the relevant electoral commission within 10 days of the election call, whereas groupings of electors needed to secure the signature of at least one percent of the electorate in the constituencies for which they sought election, disallowing electors from signing for more than one list.[13] Amendments earlier in 2007 required a balanced composition of men and women in the electoral lists, so that candidates of either sex made up at least 40 percent of the total composition.[14]

Below is a list of the main parties and alliances which contested the election:

Candidacy Parties and
alliances		 Candidate Ideology Previous result Gov. Ref.
Vote % Seats
CC–PNC Paulino Rivero Regionalism
Canarian nationalism
Centrism
36.3%
[a]		 23 Yes [15]
[16]
[17]
PP
List
 José Manuel Soria Conservatism
Christian democracy		 30.6% 17 No [18]
[19]
PSOE Juan Fernando López Aguilar Social democracy 25.4% 17 No [20]
[21]
CCN Ignacio González Santiago Canarian nationalism
Centrism
1.4%
[c]		 3 No
NCa
List
  • New Canaries (NCa)
  • Nationalist Party of Lanzarote (PNL)
  • Initiative for La Palma (ILP)
Román Rodríguez Canarian nationalism
Social democracy		 Did not contest No [22]
[23]

Opinion polls

The tables below list opinion polling results in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first and using the dates when the survey fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication. Where the fieldwork dates are unknown, the date of publication is given instead. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed with its background shaded in the leading party's colour. If a tie ensues, this is applied to the figures with the highest percentages. The "Lead" column on the right shows the percentage-point difference between the parties with the highest percentages in a poll.

Voting intention estimates

The table below lists weighted voting intention estimates. Refusals are generally excluded from the party vote percentages, while question wording and the treatment of "don't know" responses and those not intending to vote may vary between polling organisations. When available, seat projections determined by the polling organisations are displayed below (or in place of) the percentages in a smaller font; 31 seats were required for an absolute majority in the Parliament of the Canary Islands.

Color key:

  Exit poll

Voting preferences

The table below lists raw, unweighted voting preferences.

Victory preferences

The table below lists opinion polling on the victory preferences for each party in the event of a regional election taking place.

Victory likelihood

The table below lists opinion polling on the perceived likelihood of victory for each party in the event of a regional election taking place.

Preferred President

The table below lists opinion polling on leader preferences to become president of the Canary Islands.

Results

Overall

← Summary of the 27 May 2007 Parliament of the Canary Islands election results →
Parties and alliances Popular vote Seats
Votes % ±pp Total +/−
Spanish Socialist Workers' Party (PSOE) 322,83334.51+9.09 26+9
Canarian Coalition–Canarian Nationalist Party (CC–PNC)1 225,87824.15−12.12 19−4
People's Party (PP) 224,88324.04−6.57 15−2
New Canaries (NCa) 50,7495.43New 0±0
Canarian Centre (CCN)2 46,6764.99+3.58 0−3
The Greens (Verdes) 17,7931.90−0.08 0±0
Commitment to Gran Canaria (CGCa) 8,5120.91New 0±0
Canarian United Left (IUC) 6,5580.70−0.61 0±0
Canarian Popular Alternative–25 May Citizens' Alternative (APCa–AC25M)3 4,8240.52−0.50 0±0
Canarian Nationalist Alternative (ANC) 2,5390.27New 0±0
Unity of the People (UP) 1,4850.16New 0±0
Communist Party of the Canarian People (PCPC) 1,3380.14−0.05 0±0
Nationalist Maga Alternative (AMAGA) 1,0790.12New 0±0
Party of Gran Canaria (PGC) 1,0730.11New 0±0
Centre Coalition (CCCAN) 1,0060.11New 0±0
Movement for the Unity of the Canarian People (MUPC) 8880.09New 0±0
Alternative Island (ISAL) 8700.09New 0±0
Humanist Party (PH) 7770.08−0.06 0±0
Citizens' Union–Independent Progressives of Canaries (UC–PIC) 5570.06New 0±0
Commitment to Tenerife (CTF) 4660.05New 0±0
The Phalanx (FE) 3270.03New 0±0
National Democracy (DN) 3020.03−0.01 0±0
Citizens' Initiative for Fuerteventura (ICF) 2860.03New 0±0
Pensionist Assembly of the Canaries (TPC) 2800.03−0.02 0±0
Canarian Nationalist Party (PNC)4 2440.03−0.02 0±0
Blank ballots 13,2371.42+0.14
Total 935,460 60±0
Valid votes 935,46099.43−0.01
Invalid votes 5,3920.57+0.01
Votes cast / turnout 940,85260.44−4.18
Abstentions 615,73539.56+4.18
Registered voters 1,556,587
Sources[10][24][25]
Footnotes:
Popular vote
PSOE
 
 34.51%
CC–PNC
 
 24.15%
PP
 
 24.04%
NCa
 
 5.43%
CCN
 
 4.99%
Verdes
 
 1.90%
Others
 
 3.57%
Blank ballots
 
 1.42%
Seats
PSOE
 
 43.33%
CC–PNC
 
 31.67%
PP
 
 25.00%

Distribution by constituency

Constituency PSOE CC–PNC PP
% S % S % S
El Hierro 23.5 1 47.1 2 19.8 −
Fuerteventura 32.3 3 30.3 2 23.9 2
Gran Canaria 37.9 7 5.4 1 34.2 7
La Gomera 54.8 3 31.9 1 5.0 −
La Palma 28.2 3 46.2 4 17.0 1
Lanzarote 28.7 4 18.7 2 15.2 2
Tenerife 32.2 5 39.6 7 16.5 3
Total 34.5 26 24.1 19 24.0 15
Sources[10][24][25]

Aftermath

Government formation

Investiture
Nomination of Paulino Rivero (CC)
Ballot → 11 July 2007
Required majority → 31 out of 60 checkY
Yes
34 / 60
No
26 / 60
Abstentions
0 / 60
Absentees
0 / 60
Sources[10][26]

Notes

  1. Results for CC (32.9%, 23 seats) and FNC (3.4%, 0 seats)—not including Lanzarote—in the 2003 election.
  2. Alejandro Díaz, former PP legislator.[12]
  3. Results for FNC in Lanzarote in the 2003 election.
  4. Does not include non-resident citizens.

References

Opinion poll sources
  1. "Los sondeos dan la victoria al PSOE con el 36% de los votos". Crónicas de Lanzarote (in Spanish). 27 May 2007.
  2. "Las coincidencias entre sondeos confirman tendencias a menos de una semana de las elecciones". Canariasahora.es (in Spanish). 21 May 2007.
  3. "Todo pendiente de los pactos". Canarias7 (in Spanish). 19 May 2007.
  4. "Las preferencias cambian y los pactos mandan". Canarias7 (in Spanish). 18 May 2007.
  5. "Rajoy saca peor nota que Zapatero en los bastiones electorales del PP". El País (in Spanish). 20 May 2007.
  6. "Vuelco en Canarias a favor del PSOE por el tirón de López Aguilar". El País (in Spanish). 20 May 2007.
  7. "Vuelco electoral en Navarra, Baleares y Canarias y aplastante victoria del PP en Madrid". Terra (in Spanish). 17 May 2007. Archived from the original on 20 May 2007. Retrieved 2021-08-05.
  8. "Encuestas autonómicas". Celeste-Tel (in Spanish). 17 May 2007. Archived from the original on 11 May 2009. Retrieved 2021-08-05.
  9. "El PSOE ganaría en Canarias pero no tendría garantizado el Gobierno". Cadena SER (in Spanish). 14 May 2007.
  10. "Pulsómetro 14/05/2007. Jaén, Cádiz, Málaga, Granada, Córdoba, Huelva y Canarias". Cadena SER (in Spanish). 14 May 2007. Archived from the original on 16 May 2007. Retrieved 2021-08-05.
  11. "Sondeo de Sigma Dos: El PSOE mantendría sus comunidades si revalida las coaliciones". El Mundo (in Spanish). 13 May 2007.
  12. "Elecciones 27-M / Sondeo El Mundo-Sigma Dos". El Mundo (in Spanish). 12 May 2007.
  13. "Preelectoral elecciones autonómicas, 2007. CA de Canarias (Estudio nº 2690. Abril-Mayo 2007)". CIS (in Spanish). 11 May 2007.
  14. "La aritmética juega en contra del PSOE sólo en las islas Canarias". La Vanguardia (in Spanish). 12 May 2007.
  15. "Los socialistas auguran una debacle de CC en los próximos comicios". ABC (in Spanish). 28 February 2007.
  16. "Una encuesta da el triunfo al PSC-PSOE en Canarias". Lanzarote Digital (in Spanish). 4 February 2007. Archived from the original on 4 July 2018. Retrieved 4 July 2018.
  17. "Una nueva encuesta da el triunfo al PSC en Canarias". Canariasahora.es (in Spanish). 4 February 2007.
  18. "El PP y el PSOE mantendrán sus gobiernos autonómicos, aunque los socialistas bajan". El Mundo (in Spanish). 27 November 2006.
  19. "López Aguilar se beneficia del batacazo de Coalición Canaria". El Mundo (in Spanish). 27 November 2006. Archived from the original on 16 November 2011.
  20. "El voto en las comunidades. Elecciones autonómicas 2007" (PDF). El Mundo (in Spanish). 27 November 2006.
  21. "Un sondeo apunta que el PSOE podría ganar las elecciones en Canarias aunque sin mayoría absoluta". El Confidencial (in Spanish). 19 November 2006.
  22. "El PSOE ganará en 2007". Canarias7 (in Spanish). 28 May 2006.
  23. "Encuesta de 'clima' político-electoral de Canarias" (PDF). TNS Demoscopia (in Spanish). 27 January 2006.
  24. "CC muestra una encuesta favorable y que no incluye la reforma electoral". ABC (in Spanish). 28 January 2006.
  25. "CC y PSC "preparan encuestas" porque "no lo tienen claro"". ABC (in Spanish). 29 January 2006.
Other
  1. Statute (1982), arts. 9, 13 & 17.
  2. LECC (2003), final prov. 1.
  3. Statute (1982), art. 10; LECC (2003), art. 16 (suppl. by LOREG (1985), art. 42).
  4. Statute (1982), art. 17.
  5. Decree 44/2007 (2007), art. 1.
  6. Statute (1982), arts. 9–10; LECC (2003), art. 2 (suppl. by LOREG (1985), arts. 2–3).
  7. Statute (1982), art. 9 & trans. prov. 1.
  8. Statute (1982), trans. prov. 1; Decree 44/2007 (2007), art. 2.
  9. LECC (2003), art. 21 & single add. prov. (suppl. by LOREG (1985), arts. 46 & 48).
  10. Lozano, Carles. "Elecciones al Parlamento de Canarias (desde 1983)". Historia Electoral.com (in Spanish). Retrieved 26 April 2026.
  11. "Los grupos parlamentarios. VI Legislatura" (in Spanish). Parliament of the Canary Islands. Retrieved 3 May 2026.
  12. "Un tránsfuga deja al PP canario como tercer partido en el Parlamento, tras su paso al CCN". ABC (in Spanish). Santa Cruz. 10 February 2007. Retrieved 3 May 2026.
  13. LECC (2003), art. 18 (suppl. by LOREG (1985), art. 44).
  14. LOREG (1985), art. 44 bis.
  15. Pardellas, Juan Manuel (21 February 2005). "Coalición Canaria rompe con el ex presidente Román Rodríguez". El País (in Spanish). Santa Cruz de Tenerife. Retrieved 2 May 2026.
  16. "Adán Martín anuncia que no será el candidato de CC a la presidencia". La Voz de Lanzarote (in Spanish). 31 January 2007. Retrieved 2 May 2026.
  17. Pardellas, Juan Manuel (4 February 2007). "Paulino Rivero, candidato de CC". El País (in Spanish). Las Palmas. Retrieved 2 May 2026.
  18. Pardellas, Juan Manuel (15 November 2004). "Los populares de Canarias reeligen como presidente a Soria con el 96% de los votos". El País (in Spanish). Santa Cruz de Tenerife. Retrieved 2 May 2026.
  19. "El PP quiere designar a todos sus candidatos autonómicos antes del 27 de mayo" (in Spanish). Madrid: Servimedia. 24 April 2006. Retrieved 2 May 2026.
  20. Elordi Cué, Carlos (5 September 2006). "Alemán renuncia a pugnar por la presidencia de Canarias y deja vía libre a López Aguilar". El País (in Spanish). Madrid. Retrieved 2 May 2026.
  21. "El ministro de Justicia, candidato del PSOE para las autonómicas de Canarias" (in Spanish). Cadena SER. 28 October 2006. Retrieved 2 May 2026.
  22. "Los miembros escindidos de Coalición Canaria fundan un nuevo partido nacionalista". La Voz de Galicia (in Spanish). Las Palmas. EFE. 12 June 2005. Retrieved 3 May 2026.
  23. "Román Rodríguez, elegido presidente en el congreso de Nueva Canarias". ABC (in Spanish). Las Palmas. 13 June 2005. Retrieved 3 May 2026.
  24. "Elecciones al Parlamento de Canarias. Elecciones 2007" (in Spanish). Parliament of the Canary Islands. Retrieved 26 April 2026.
  25. "Resolución de 11 de julio de 2007, de la Presidencia, por la que se hacen públicos los resultados electorales del escrutinio general en el conjunto de las circunscripciones electorales de la Comunidad Autónoma de Canarias" (PDF). Official Gazette of Canaries (in Spanish) (139): 17944–17953. 12 July 2007. Retrieved 30 April 2026.
  26. "Paulino Rivero, investido presidente de Canarias con el apoyo del PP". El País (in Spanish). Santa Cruz de Tenerife. 11 July 2007. Retrieved 27 April 2026.

Bibliography