2026 Wisconsin gubernatorial election

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2026 Wisconsin gubernatorial election
November 3, 2026
 
Party Democratic Republican
Incumbent Governor

Tony Evers
Democratic


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The 2026 Wisconsin gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place on November 3, 2026, to elect the governor of Wisconsin for a four-year term. Incumbent Democratic governor Tony Evers declined to seek re-election to a third term. Primary elections will be held on August 11, 2026.[1]

This will be one of five Democratic-held governorships up for election in 2026 in a state won by President Donald Trump in the 2024 presidential election.[2] This is the first Wisconsin gubernatorial election since 2010 in which the incumbent is not seeking re-election.[3]

Background

Wisconsin is considered to be a purple state at the federal and state levels with a uniquely competitive track record (presidential races decided by less than a point in 2016, 2020, 2024, Senate races decided by roughly a point in 2022 and 2024, and a governor's race decided by a point in 2018).[2] The past two Wisconsin elections featured split outcomes, with Democrats winning for governor and Republicans for Senate in 2022, and Democrats winning for Senate and Republicans for president in 2024. Wisconsin has voted with the winner of the last five presidential elections, and in 2024 had the second highest voter turnout levels in the country behind Minnesota and one of the biggest turnout increases in the country.[2] Both parties have seen success in the state in recent years. Republicans narrowly control both chambers of the Wisconsin Legislature and hold a supermajority in Wisconsin's U.S. House delegation. However, Democrats control most statewide executive offices and have won the last two gubernatorial races.[4]

Incumbent Democratic governor Tony Evers was first elected in 2018, narrowly defeating incumbent Republican Scott Walker.[5] He was re-elected by a slightly larger margin in 2022, defeating Republican businessman Tim Michels.[6] In July 2025, Evers announced he would not seek re-election to a third term. The race is widely seen as a tossup due to Evers' retirement and the state's even partisan lean.[7]

Democratic primary

Candidates

Declared

Withdrawn

Did not file

Disqualified

  • Kirk Bangstad, business owner[19]

Declined

Endorsements

Mandela Barnes
U.S. senators
State legislators
Municipal officials
Labor unions
Organizations
Joel Brennan
Executive branch officials
State legislators
David Crowley
State legislators
Municipal officials
Labor unions
Francesca Hong
U.S. representatives
State legislators
Individuals
Organizations
Sara Rodriguez
Statewide officials
State legislators
State agency executives
Labor unions
Organizations
Kelda Roys

Statewide officials

U.S. representatives
State legislators
Local officials
Labor unions
Organizations
Declined to endorse
U.S. representatives

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of December 31, 2025
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Mandela Barnes (D) $555,647 $88,265 $471,471
Joel Brennan (D) $566,212 $13,872 $552,339
David Crowley (D) $789,281 $187,529 $602,181
Francesca Hong (D) $368,685 $234,782 $134,588
Missy Hughes (D) $465,402 $63,058 $402,343
Sara Rodriguez (D) $618,284 $135,493 $603,075
Kelda Roys (D) $355,455 $84,930 $334,032
Source: Wisconsin Ethics Commission[57]

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[a]		 Margin
of error		 David
Crowley		 Francesca
Hong		 Kelda
Roys		 Mandela
Barnes		 Missy
Hughes		 Sara
Rodriguez		 Other Undecided
June 22, 2026 Hughes withdraws from the race
The Public Sentiment Institute[58][59][A] May 13–15, 2026 880 (RV)
877 (LV)		 ± 4.2% 8.0% 8.5% – 24.1% – 12.3% 7.1% 38.8%
Marquette University[60] March 11–18, 2026 393 (RV) ± 6.7% 3% 14% 1% 11% 1% 3% – 65%
Patriot Polling (R)[61] March 10–16, 2026 – (LV) – 6% 27% – 18% – 6% 43%
Marquette University[62] February 11–19, 2026 394 (RV) ± 6.9% 3% 11% 1% 10% 2% 6% 3%[b] 65%
TIPP Insights (R)[63][B] February 6–12, 2026 1,524 (RV) ± 2.7% 7% 5% 2% 28% 1% 20% 1%[c] 35%
TIPP Insights (R)[64][B] November 17–21, 2025 589 (LV) – 6% – 1% 21% 2% 6% 11%[d] 52%
Marquette University[65] October 15–22, 2025 378 (RV) ± 6.9% 3% 6% 3% – 2% 4% 0%[e] 81%
Platform Communications[66] September 28–30, 2025 – (LV) – 7% 4% 4% 16% 2% 8% 20%[f] 39%

Results

Democratic primary
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Mandela Barnes
Democratic Joel Brennan
Democratic David Crowley
Democratic Francesca Hong
Democratic Missy Hughes (withdrawn)
Democratic Sara Rodriguez
Democratic Kelda Roys
Write-in
Total votes 100.0

Lieutenant governor

Candidates

Declared
Declined

Endorsements

Sarah Godlewski
U.S. representatives
Statewide officials

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of December 31, 2025
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Sarah Godlewski (D) $210,434 $114,405 $112,071
Source: Wisconsin Ethics Commission[68]

Results

Democratic primary
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Sarah Godlewski
Write-in
Total votes 100.0

Republican primary

Governor

Candidates

Declared
Withdrawn
Declined

Endorsements

Tom Tiffany
Executive branch officials
U.S. representatives
State officials
State Legislators
Municipal officials
Labor unions
  • Kenosha Professional Police Association[100]
  • Milwaukee Police Association[101]
Organizations

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of December 31, 2025
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Andy Manske (R) $0 $0 $0
Tom Tiffany (R) $2,122,490 $438,161 $1,695,039
Source: Wisconsin Ethics Commission[108]

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[a]		 Margin
of error		 Bill
Berrien		 Andy
Manske		 Josh
Schoemann		 Tom
Tiffany		 Other Undecided
Marquette University[60] March 11–18, 2026 396 (RV) ± 6.3% – 6% – 40% 0%[h] 54%
Patriot Polling (R)[61] March 10–16, 2026 – (LV) – – 8% – 65% 27%
Marquette University[62] February 11–19, 2026 371 (RV) ± 6.4% – 2% – 35% – 63%
January 28, 2026 Schoemann withdraws from the race
Marquette University[65] October 15–22, 2025 406 (RV) ± 6.9% – 0% 6% 23% – 70%
September 26, 2025 Berrien withdraws from the race
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates (R)[109] July 28–31, 2025 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 10% – 13% 40% – 37%
Hypothetical polling
Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[a]		 Margin
of error		 Eric
Hovde		 Josh
Schoemann		 Mary
Felzkowski		 Tim
Michels		 Tom
Tiffany		 Other Undecided
TIPP Insights (R)[64][B] November 17-21, 2025 586 (LV) – 25% 5% – 12% 17% 2%[i] 37%
Platform Communications[66] September 28–30, 2025 – (LV) – 14% 4% 1% 9% 30% 9%[j] 33%

Results

Republican primary
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Andy Manske
Republican Tom Tiffany
Write-in
Total votes 100.0

Lieutenant governor

Candidates

Declared
Withdrawn
Did not file
  • Cyril Sablich, college student
  • John Totz, Oakfield school board member

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of December 31, 2025
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Will Martin (R) $102,443 $5,638 $96,805
David Varnam (R) $30,039 $10,019 $20,020
Source: Wisconsin Ethics Commission[113]

Results

Republican primary
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Will Martin
Republican David Varnam
Write-in
Total votes 100.0

Independents

Candidates

Not On Ballot

  • David King, pastor and perennial candidate[114]

Did Not File

  • Carlos Dixon, musician[115]
  • Oliver Carranza, college student[116]
  • Alexander Kent, electoral reform activist[117]
  • Mike Kohn[118]
  • Zachariah David Russell[119]
  • Korey Streich[120]

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
Inside Elections[121] Tossup August 28, 2025
Race to the WH[122] Tossup June 19, 2026
RealClearPolitics[123] Tossup June 5, 2026
Sabato's Crystal Ball[124] Tossup September 4, 2025
The Cook Political Report[125] Tossup September 11, 2025

Polling

Mandela Barnes vs. Tom Tiffany

Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[a]		 Margin
of error		 Mandela
Barnes (D)		 Tom
Tiffany (R)		 Other Undecided
TIPP Insights (R)[126][127][B] March 13–19, 2026 1,175 (LV) ± 2.9% 43% 41% 6%[k] 10%
1,495 (RV) ± 2.7% 40% 38% 7%[l] 15%
Impact Research (D)[128][C] October 2–8, 2025 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 50% 44% – 7%

David Crowley vs. Tom Tiffany

Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[a]		 Margin
of error		 David
Crowley (D)		 Tom
Tiffany (R)		 Other Undecided
TIPP Insights (R)[126][127][B] March 13–19, 2026 1,175 (LV) ± 2.9% 42% 41% 5%[m] 12%
1,495 (RV) ± 2.7% 39% 38% 7%[k] 16%

Francesca Hong vs. Tom Tiffany

Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[a]		 Margin
of error		 Francesca
Hong (D)		 Tom
Tiffany (R)		 Other Undecided
TIPP Insights (R)[126][127][B] March 13–19, 2026 1,175 (LV) ± 2.9% 40% 43% 6%[k] 12%
1,495 (RV) ± 2.7% 37% 40% 7%[l] 16%
Patriot Polling (R)[61] March 10–16, 2026 812 (LV) ± 3.5% 42% 46% 12%

Sara Rodriguez vs. Tom Tiffany

Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[a]		 Margin
of error		 Sara
Rodriguez (D)		 Tom
Tiffany (R)		 Other Undecided
TIPP Insights (R)[126][127][B] March 13–19, 2026 1,175 (LV) ± 2.9% 44% 41% 5%[m] 10%
1,495 (RV) ± 2.7% 40% 39% 7%[k] 15%
Hypothetical polling

Mandela Barnes vs. Tim Michels

Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[a]		 Margin
of error		 Mandela
Barnes (D)		 Tim
Michels (R)		 Undecided
Impact Research (D)[128][C] October 2–8, 2025 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 51% 44% 5%

Generic Democrat vs. generic Republican

Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[a]		 Margin
of error		 Generic
Democrat		 Generic
Republican		 Undecided
Platform Communications[66] September 28–30, 2025 500 (LV) – 40% 43% 17%

See also

Notes

  1. Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  2. Brennan at 2% and Brett Hulsey at 1%.
  3. Brett Hulsey at 1% and Joel Brennan at 0%
  4. Josh Kaul with 8%; Sarah Godlewski with 3%
  5. Brett Hulsey and Ryan Strnad with 0%
  6. "None of the candidates" with 12%; Josh Kaul with 7%; Ben Wikler with 1%
  8. "Refused" with 0%
  9. Kevin Nicholson with 2%
  10. "None of the candidates" with 9%
  11. "Someone else" with 6%
  12. "Someone else" with 7%
  13. "Someone else" with 5%
Partisan clients
  1. Poll sponsored by the Great Lakes Perspective
  2. Poll sponsored by the League of American Workers
  3. Poll sponsored by The Long Run PAC, an organization founded by Barnes

References

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Official gubernatorial campaign websites
Official lieutenant gubernatorial campaign websites